Tapping existing reservoirs
Although this year has seen some easing on the training place market, the quantitative problems are far from being solved. In all probability, creating a sufficient number of training places and reducing the number of 'carry-over applicants' will be the focus of attention for quite a while to come. At the same time, reports on shortages of skilled workers are already signalling the fundamental change that will face us in the future. However, it would appear to be premature to bewail a serious shortage of skilled workers at this time - at least in terms of skilled workers who received their training through the dual vocational training system.
- This is because the number of carry-over applicants who were unable to find a training place is somewhere in the order of 300,000 young people. That is approximately 40 per cent of all training place applicants in 2006.
- The share of an age cohort that does not complete any type of formal vocational training remains unchanged at around 15 per cent.
- Those individuals who never earned formal vocational qualification and are working as unskilled labour or are unemployed also constitute an untapped reservoir.
- We also have to remember that only about one out of every two individuals who pass their final examination is subsequently hired by the enterprise that trained them. For many, the end of training marks the start of a period of unemployment.
Looking at only the quantitative side, we have an enormous reservoir of training place applicants and individuals who have completed their vocational training, a reservoir that will last for several years. However, difficulties due to growing shortages will particularly develop in those areas that have not made provisions for their future manpower requirements by providing in-house vocational training. This can also be expected in those occupations and sectors that are less attractive or less familiar to young people - be it due to the requirements, working conditions or simply because the particular occupation is not 'in' with the younger generation.
Enterprises will have to get used to the fact that number of applicants is on the decline and that fewer young people are seeking a training place. As a consequence, companies and their associations will have to conduct considerably more active marketing than in the past if they are to tap this reservoir of potential applicants for the occupations they need for their operations. The coming years will see competition develop between training schemes, between sectors and between enterprises over school-leavers and particularly over the good ones. In this connection, the quality of the vocational training being provided is likely to be an important factor when competing over young qualified workers.
This will be all the more the case in light of the fact that applicant structures will continue to change in parallel to this: Qualified applicants - particularly those who have earned qualification to study at a university or university of applied sciences - will possibly find university studies more attractive than vocational training as a result of the favourable predictions being issued regarding the future demand for university graduates and due to the increase in the number of openings available in bachelor's and master's degree programmes. In future, enterprises wanting to recruit skilled workers will have to draw much more than ever from the reservoir of those youths who have not received formal vocational training owing to their lack of the fundamental knowledge and attitudes necessary for successful training or for some other reason and have instead landed in the so-called 'transition system'. This group consists primarily of lower secondary school leavers, school leavers with poorer marks, immigrants and youths with an immigration background.
However, special assistance measures will be needed if this reservoir is to be tapped. And these measures must be taken at the earliest possible stage, in other words, while the individual is still in school. Collaboration between general schools and vocational schools and integrating practical phases at enterprises and inter-company vocational training centres into instruction could improve career-orientedness and make it even clearer why learning is a good thing. 'Transition management' is the technocratic term for this. But this concerns even more, namely: Making practical experience a part of the educational mission of secondary schooling.
Assistance during formal vocational training is also necessary. Assistance that is provided during vocational training and support that is provided by educators outside the classroom have proven their worth. Measures of this type should be increased and conducted on an ongoing basis. Enterprises need the help of external service providers for this. Players in the respective region play an important role in developing and maintaining this kind of support structure, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises.