What are the possible solutions?
The various proposed solutions to this problem that are currently under discussion can be summarised in terms of three fundamental strategies:
- The first strategy is geared towards watering down or relativising the principle of market-driven inclusion (cf. NEß 2007, p. 169). This means limiting the autonomy of companies to decide whether and to whom they provide initial vocational training. The aim of imposing certain conditions on companies is to increase the overall volume of IVET that companies provide and to eliminate specific barriers to access for disadvantaged young people (e.g. young migrants).
- The second strategy does not interfere with market-driven inclusion but aims to complement it with a rule-driven inclusion mechanism ("inclusion by rule"; for definitions, see the box below). In concrete terms, this means that prospective trainees who meet certain admission criteria - e.g. hold a school-leaving certificate, meet the criterion of "apprenticeship-entry maturity" or, in the most basic scenario, have simply left school - obtain, without exception, an offer of training leading to a vocational qualification. This requires the use of non-company-based forms of IVET and the development of new IVET models (cf. EULER 2010, p. 25).
Inclusion by market
The integration of young people into the vocational training system operates by means of a market. The matching of supply and demand are critical to the success of inclusion. (Young people offer themselves as the supply of potential apprentices, and are recruited by companies with a demand for new apprentices.)
Inclusion by rule
The integration of young people into the IVET system operates according to specified admission rules. If the young person satisfies the rule, admission duly follows. Hence, inclusion is not dependent on the matching of supply and demand or the number of other competing applicants. (After ESSER 2000, p. 233 ff.).
- The third strategy does not set out to seek new forms of inclusion but to stimulate the economy's demand for apprentices while retaining market-driven access (cf. WERNER 2005, p. 64 ff.). To achieve this, the "supply" must be made more attractive to companies, and their costs and risks of providing IVET must be lowered. This can be done by taking steps to upgrade the entry-level qualifications of applicants or the targeting of the recruitment process, or alternatively, by providing additional support to companies who employ disadvantaged young people.
The proposals envisage improving young people's level of qualification on entry by implementing reforms in the transition system or the general education system, more targeted recruitment e.g. through better vocational orientation, training-entry mentors and monitoring systems.
One attitude that is occasionally observed and attracts some criticism (cf. HILGER/SEVERING 2008, p. 94) is, quite simply, the wait-and-see approach. In view of the demographic trend, a judgement is made that the market position of young people and hence their IVET opportunities will inevitably improve. The advantage of this strategy may be that it tends to discourage risky interventions in the system, the consequences and side-effects of which can never be anticipated precisely. Moreover, it avoids a wearisome political consultation process which is all the more likely if the reforms involve systemic changes. For many education and training sectors play a part in the transition process (general schools, the transition system consisting of school-based courses and programmes, and the dual system) and these in turn are controlled by a host of actors, many of which have their own particular viewpoints and interests (cf. BAETHGE 2006). Recent improvements in the state of the apprenticeship market and the falling numbers of young people ending up in the transition system even appear to lend weight to the strategy of "attentism" (i.e. the wait-and-see school of thought). However, critics of this approach blame it for blocking reforms, which causes young people to suffer the most.
Figure Backgrounds of the 482 participants in Vocational Training Experts Monitor 2010
Source: BIBB Vocational Training Experts Monitor (Expertenmonitor) 2010
Against this backdrop, the question to be addressed is which of the reform proposals up for discussion are not only promising but also likely to garner a sizeable consensus, and thus have a realistic prospect of speedy implementation. This was answered by 482 experts in the course of the "Vocational Training Experts Monitor 2010". The study took place in cooperation with the project "Übergänge mit System" (Transitions with system) commissioned by the Bertelsmann Foundation (cf. at length, Autorengruppe BIBB/Bertelsmann Stiftung 2011) .1