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Companies' costs from dissolved training contracts

Felix Wenzelmann; Heike Lemmermann

Translated by:

Deborah Shannon

According to the 2012 Data Report of the Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training (BIBB)1 around one in five training contracts in the German dual system of vocational education and training (VET) is dissolved before the end of the contractually agreed duration of training. Initially it seems as if the total investment by all parties concerned up to the point of dissolution has been wasted. But a majority of young people go on to conclude a new training contract, in which case the investment is not entirely wasted from the perspective of the economy as a whole. The article sets out calculations which enable the costs of these prematurely dissolved training contracts (referred to in abbreviated form as dissolved contracts) to be quantified for the first time.

Data basis

The data used for calculation of the average costs of a dissolved training contract consist of information from a BIBB company survey and from two BIBB data sources based on VET statistics, associated at occupation level:

  • from the BIBB Cost-Benefit Survey (BIBB-CBS) 2007; information on costs and returns of training for 51 occupations (cf. SCHÖNFELD et al. 2007),
  • from the data system on apprentices ("Datensystem Auszubildende", DAZUBI); the contract dissolution rate according to the stratification model (LQalt; cf. UHLY 2012),
  • from an individual dataset in the VET statistics; the average length of time in months before a training contract is dissolved (time to contract dissolution).

Concerning the last two sources mentioned, it should be borne in mind that no data on dissolved contracts is available for 2007 due to reporting problems in the initial years after the reform of the VET statistics. Hence the figures for the year 2008 are used as an approximation (cf. details of the "Datensystem Auszubildende" (in German) at www.bibb.de/dazubi ).2

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Dissolution rates and average time to contract dissolution

On average across the 51 occupations studied, the contract dissolution rate was around 20.5 per cent with an average time to dissolution of around twelve months. The highest rate was recorded for the skilled crafts occupations (25%), in contrast to barely seven per cent in public service occupations. In the free professions, contract dissolutions occur after only ten months on average compared to 15 months in agriculture. The values for some individual occupations are notably higher or lower than the averages for their sectoral fields (cf. Table).

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Gross and net costs

For the calculations, the gross costs from the BIBB-CBS 2007 (cf. SCHÖNFELD et al. 2010) were broken down into three components:

  • fixed costs that are lost in full upon dissolution of the training contract (e.g. costs of recruiting apprentices),
  • annual fixed costs incurred at the beginning of a training year (e.g. premises and non-personnel costs, costs of teaching materials, occupational and protective clothing, administration, and fees to the sectoral training organisations known as competent bodies),
  • variable costs incurred monthly which cease upon termination of the contract (e.g. personnel costs for trainees, personnel costs for training staff, and costs of external training measures).

Accordingly, where the time to contract dissolution t is less than or equal to twelve months, the gross costs are composed of the fixed costs, the annual fixed costs for the first training year, and t multiplied by the first year's monthly variable costs. For a period longer than twelve months, corresponding annual fixed and variable costs from the second (third, fourth) year are added.
Because the trainees are working productively in the company up to the point when their training contract is dissolved, the returns from unskilled and skilled tasks by the trainees in BIBB-CBS 2007 are calculated per training year and deducted from the gross costs in order to calculate the net costs. It is assumed that returns are distributed evenly across the months of each training year.
On overall average, gross costs of EUR 16,218 are incurred up to the point of contract dissolution, while returns amount to EUR 9,392. The net costs up to the point of contract dissolution amount to EUR 6,826. At company level, the net costs prior to contract dissolution can be multiplied by the average contract dissolution rate of the given occupation to obtain the expected value of losses due to dissolved contracts. On overall average, this comes to EUR 1,219 per apprentice hired (cf. Table).
Assessment according to sectoral domains shows that the free professions bear the lowest gross costs, at close to EUR 11,000, and the public services the highest, at EUR 20,300. Since this is partly attributable to the relatively prolonged average time to dissolution, the returns in the public services are also the highest. The net costs per dissolved training contract fluctuate between barely EUR 3,200 in the free professions and EUR 7,700 in the industry and trade sector. In addition, the table shows the five occupations in which the costs of dissolved training contracts are highest and lowest respectively.
If the net costs up to contract dissolution are extrapolated to all dissolved training contracts, they come to around EUR 580 million in total for all affected companies for the year 2007. The loss to the economy as a whole is a lesser figure. Since around half of trainees embark on a new apprenticeship place after having dissolved a contract (cf. SCHÖNGEN 2003), there are benefits to the trainees, on the one hand, from their partially undertaken vocational training programme, while on the other hand the new company makes cost savings if trainees are already partially trained. The calculations indicate the risk to which companies are exposed from early dissolution of training contracts. Apart from the lost costs of the initial vocational education and training provided, the company has to bear additional costs which may arise specifically due to dissolution. Moreover, although these figures are based on the average costs and returns of all apprentices, it could be that trainees whose contracts are dissolved incur higher costs or generate lower returns, for example if their motivation and commitment is lower. Overall the costs may prompt companies that have undergone this negative experience to restrict their participation in initial vocational training or withdraw from it entirely (cf. JABLONKA/HEMKES 2012).

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Table: Rates, average times and costs of training contract dissolutions

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Targeted recruitment can minimise costs

Not least for this reason, all parties involved in initial vocational education and training should endeavour to minimise the number of dissolved contracts. One means of doing so is to improve the matching between training companies or training occupations and trainees. On the one hand, this presupposes more intensive research on the part of training applicants to find out about the training occupation; on the other hand, it implies a greater workload for companies during recruitment.
Making use of the data presented here, a clear negative correlation can be shown at occupation level between recruitment costs and the rate of dissolved training contracts. Higher investment in the selection of apprentices can therefore reduce the probability of a dissolved contract.

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Literature

  • JABLONKA, P.; HEMKES, B.: Explorative Studie zur Analyse und Dokumentation von Vertragslösungen in der betrieblichen Ausbildung. (Unpublished expertise) Berlin, Bonn (BIBB) 2012
  • SCHÖNFELD, G. et al.: Kosten und Nutzen der dualen Ausbildung aus Sicht der Betriebe. Ergebnisse der vierten BIBB-Kosten-Nutzen- Erhebung. Bielefeld 2010
  • SCHÖNGEN, K.: Ausbildungsvertrag gelöst = Ausbildung abgebrochen? Ergebnisse einer Befragung. In: BWP 32(2003) 5, 35-39 - URL: http://www.bibb.de/veroeffentlichungen/de/publication/show/id/828 (viewed 02.08.2012)
  • UHLY, A.: Vorzeitige Lösung von Ausbildungsverträgen. In: BIBB (ed.): Datenreport zum Berufsbildungsbericht 2012. Bielefeld 2012a, pp. 165-177
  • UHLY, A.: Die Konstruktion von Kohortendatensätzen auf Basis der Berufsbildungsstatistik der statistischen Ämter des Bundes und der Länder. Am Beispiel der Anfängerkohorte 2008. Bonn 2012 b - URL: http://www.bibb.de/dokumente/pdf/a21_dazubi_methodenpapier_kohortendatensaetze_bbs_ bibb.pdf (viewed 02.08.2012)
  • BWP 5/2012

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footnotes:

 1 Cf. at length UHLY 2012a.
 2 We are grateful to ALEXANDRA UHLY for preparing and supplying these sources.

Last modified on: December 10, 2012

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Publisher: Federal Institute for Vocational Training (BIBB)
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