Things to know
To hint on options for political actions, our QuBe baseline projection forecasts already observable developments in the education and employment system into the future. Impacts of changed framework conditions - such as through an increasingly digitized economy - can then be analysed by means of scenario analysis.
You can download our projection results by occupational fields and level of qualifications or requirements respectively in the QuBe Data Portal and differentiate both supply and demand by persons or working hours. A skilled personnel indicator provides information about the skilled labour situation in the occupation.
The skilled personnel situation in the occupation is recorded by a system of indicators. A skilled personnel indicator combines a labour force balance by hours (volume indicator) with structural characteristics of the occupations (structural indicator). The latter includes training activity in the occupation (qualification indicator) and the substitution potential of occupational activities (substitution indicator). The reasons for and calculation of the indicators are described in the following publication.
Taking into account the transitions within the education system (between different training facilities) and between the education system and the labour market, the QuBe projections show the long-term occupational structure of the new labour supply coming from the education system. This can be compared to the amount of persons with a certain trained occupation leaving the labour force in the long run.
The unique feature of the QuBe projections is the use of occupational flexibility matrices. Not every person works in the same job they were trained in for their entire working life. The occupational flexibility matrix indicates the proportion of people who remain in the occupation they were trained in (stayer) and the proportion, who changes into other occupational main groups.