Shortages on the labour market: Changes in education and employment behaviour will mitigate shortages of skilled workers
New findings from the BIBB-IAB qualifications and occupational-field projections for the period up to the year 2030
Statements regarding an impending shortage of skilled workers or even an overall shortage of labour have become a standard feature in political discussions about the future of the German labour market. Model calculations of the qualifications and occupational-field projections conducted as part of the QuBe project which is being carried out jointly by the Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training (BIBB) and the Federal Employment Agency's Institute for Employment Research (IAB) show that until the year 2030 there will be shortages in a few occupational fields despite increased employment behaviour, particularly among women and older workers. At macroeconomic level, no serious shortages are to be expected at national level in the coming years.